With Burnley now officially relegated from the Premier League after their loss to Manchester City, and Wolves following suit, the battle for survival intensifies. As the final weeks of the season approach, four teams remain in the mix for the last relegation spot: Leeds, Nottingham Forest, West Ham, and Tottenham. While Leeds seem to have secured safety, the remaining three teams are fighting tooth and nail to avoid the drop. Here’s a breakdown of where things stand as we head into the final stretch of the season.
Leeds’ Fight for Survival
After a dramatic late equaliser from Sean Longstaff, Leeds United have climbed to the crucial 40-point mark, giving them a strong position in the battle to avoid relegation. Despite their recent run of form, manager Daniel Farke remains cautious, insisting that Leeds won’t celebrate until their survival is mathematically confirmed. Their next match against Championship-bound Burnley could be pivotal in sealing their Premier League status for next season.
Leeds have been on a seven-game unbeaten streak in all competitions, and while they have put themselves in a favorable position, Farke’s words reflect the uncertainty that still lingers. A win against Burnley would almost certainly confirm their safety, but until then, the fight continues. Many will be relieved to see Leeds move further from the relegation zone, but for Farke and his squad, it’s still a matter of finishing the job.
Tottenham’s Dismal Run and Upcoming Fixtures
Tottenham Hotspur’s situation looks increasingly dire. With no wins in their last 15 league games, Spurs are facing the grim possibility of relegation for the first time since 1977. Despite manager Roberto de Zerbi’s optimism about his team’s ability to win five games in a row, the reality of their form this season paints a much bleaker picture. Spurs have struggled to find any rhythm, with just two wins since October 26, 2025.
Tottenham’s remaining fixtures offer some hope, with a crucial match against Wolves, who are already relegated, and a home game against Leeds in May. However, with their winless run continuing and the pressure mounting, Spurs will need to find a way to reverse their fortunes quickly if they are to avoid relegation. The remaining games will be a true test of character for the North London side.
West Ham and Forest’s Challenges
West Ham’s position is precarious, with a 38.58% chance of relegation according to the latest statistics. Despite some recent form, including two wins in their past five matches, the Hammers face a tough run-in. Their upcoming fixtures against Everton, Brentford, and Arsenal will be challenging, and their final home game against Leeds could be crucial.
Nottingham Forest, on the other hand, have managed to distance themselves from the relegation zone, with a 4.27% chance of going down. Forest’s form has been more promising of late, with two wins in their last three games and an unbeaten five-match streak. However, their remaining fixtures, including away games at Chelsea and Manchester United, are far from easy. Still, with their current form, Forest will be hopeful they can secure the points needed to stay up.
What Do the Numbers Say?
Statistically, Tottenham’s position is alarming. They are on the longest winless run to start a calendar year in the Premier League since 2007-08, and only Sheffield Wednesday and Sunderland have had worse records in the top four divisions of English football. Spurs will need to make significant improvements if they are to stay in the Premier League.
For Forest and Leeds, the magic number for safety has traditionally been around 36 points, and both teams are close to that figure. Forest have 36 points, while Leeds are now on 40. However, West Ham’s 42 points in 2002-03 weren’t enough to save them from relegation, showing that even seemingly safe points can sometimes fall short. West Ham are currently hovering just above the danger zone, and their upcoming fixtures will be crucial in determining their fate.
With just a few games left, the race for survival is heating up. Leeds seem to be on the brink of safety, but Tottenham, West Ham, and Forest still have a lot to play for. The next few weeks will be decisive, and while some teams have a clear path ahead, others are still fighting to secure their place in the Premier League. It promises to be an exciting end to the season for all the wrong reasons for those at risk of relegation.
